Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 20, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 31°C (42.5%) and 32°C (28.5%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with expected scattered thundershowers and high humidity, support these moderate peaks by limiting full solar heating while preventing extreme buildup. Long-term August climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, with recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather reinforcing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon signals. Light rain or cloud cover in the 48-hour window ahead of the date has kept trader sentiment anchored in this narrow band rather than higher extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日上海最高溫度？
8月20日上海最高溫度？
31°C 43%
32°C 29%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
最新
$15,752 交易量
最新
$15,752 交易量
2026-08-20
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
18%
31°C
43%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
32°C 29%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
最新
$15,752 交易量
最新
$15,752 交易量
2026-08-20
25°C or below
$291 交易量
<1%
26°C
$512 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,398 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,647 交易量
2%
29°C
$2,918 交易量
6%
30°C
$2,736 交易量
18%
31°C
$820 交易量
43%
32°C
$3,207 交易量
29%
33°C
$1,122 交易量
8%
34°C
$751 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$351 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 20, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 31°C (42.5%) and 32°C (28.5%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with expected scattered thundershowers and high humidity, support these moderate peaks by limiting full solar heating while preventing extreme buildup. Long-term August climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, with recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather reinforcing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon signals. Light rain or cloud cover in the 48-hour window ahead of the date has kept trader sentiment anchored in this narrow band rather than higher extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,752結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 20, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 31°C (42.5%) and 32°C (28.5%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with expected scattered thundershowers and high humidity, support these moderate peaks by limiting full solar heating while preventing extreme buildup. Long-term August climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, with recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather reinforcing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon signals. Light rain or cloud cover in the 48-hour window ahead of the date has kept trader sentiment anchored in this narrow band rather than higher extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,752結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shanghai indicate daytime highs of 30–32°C on August 20, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 31°C (42.5%) and 32°C (28.5%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with expected scattered thundershowers and high humidity, support these moderate peaks by limiting full solar heating while preventing extreme buildup. Long-term August climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32°C, with recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather reinforcing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no incoming typhoon signals. Light rain or cloud cover in the 48-hour window ahead of the date has kept trader sentiment anchored in this narrow band rather than higher extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions