Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a dominant influence from warm, humid subtropical air and frequent cloud cover or showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 27°C. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines for mid-to-late August show typical overnight lows of 25–28°C, with current conditions—persistent moisture and weak pressure gradients—favoring values near the upper end of that range rather than sharper drops. Any shift toward clearer skies could allow modest cooling toward 26°C, while stronger southerly flow would reinforce higher readings near 28°C; traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus most heavily ahead of the August 20 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日上海最低溫度?
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
59%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
59%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a dominant influence from warm, humid subtropical air and frequent cloud cover or showers, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 27°C. Ensemble model guidance and climatological baselines for mid-to-late August show typical overnight lows of 25–28°C, with current conditions—persistent moisture and weak pressure gradients—favoring values near the upper end of that range rather than sharper drops. Any shift toward clearer skies could allow modest cooling toward 26°C, while stronger southerly flow would reinforce higher readings near 28°C; traders are weighting the latest short-range model consensus most heavily ahead of the August 20 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions