Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 33°C maximum for Incheon on August 20 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with 20–30% chances of light precipitation, yet sea-breeze effects and variable insolation from lingering East Asian monsoon moisture introduce substantial uncertainty that can suppress peak heating by several degrees below clear-sky potential. Ensemble model spreads and rapid boundary-layer changes explain why trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–30°C outcomes rather than the broader climatological August range, with recent similar-day results showing how scattered cloud cover often limits temperatures to the low 30s. Updated high-resolution runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
29°C 40%
30°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
40%
30°C
34%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
40%
30°C
34%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 33°C maximum for Incheon on August 20 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with 20–30% chances of light precipitation, yet sea-breeze effects and variable insolation from lingering East Asian monsoon moisture introduce substantial uncertainty that can suppress peak heating by several degrees below clear-sky potential. Ensemble model spreads and rapid boundary-layer changes explain why trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–30°C outcomes rather than the broader climatological August range, with recent similar-day results showing how scattered cloud cover often limits temperatures to the low 30s. Updated high-resolution runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this distribution ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions