Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon show a 24°C minimum on August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions, following an intense early-August heatwave that pushed regional highs above 40°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C because ensemble models diverge on overnight cloud cover and low-level moisture, both of which limit radiational cooling and elevate the daily minimum. Clearer skies or drier air could allow the temperature to dip to 23°C, while persistent humidity and urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon corridor favor 25°C. Updated KMA model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日首爾(仁川)最低溫度?
24°C 56%
25°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
37%
25°C
34%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
37%
25°C
34%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon show a 24°C minimum on August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions, following an intense early-August heatwave that pushed regional highs above 40°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C because ensemble models diverge on overnight cloud cover and low-level moisture, both of which limit radiational cooling and elevate the daily minimum. Clearer skies or drier air could allow the temperature to dip to 23°C, while persistent humidity and urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon corridor favor 25°C. Updated KMA model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions