Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 24°C for Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered at 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows from dropping much below recent daily averages of 23°C while preventing spikes above 25°C. Model consensus shows only modest variability tied to exact timing of any thundershowers and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and final Incheon station observations tonight will serve as the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
8月17日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
25°C 56%
24°C 32%
23°C 24%
26°C 4.9%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
32%
25°C
56%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
25°C 56%
24°C 32%
23°C 24%
26°C 4.9%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
18°C或以下
$341 交易量
<1%
19°C
$346 交易量
<1%
20°C
$181 交易量
<1%
21°C
$337 交易量
1%
22°C
$644 交易量
2%
23°C
$682 交易量
18%
24°C
$1,400 交易量
32%
25°C
$980 交易量
56%
26°C
$904 交易量
5%
27°C
$577 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$316 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 24°C for Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered at 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows from dropping much below recent daily averages of 23°C while preventing spikes above 25°C. Model consensus shows only modest variability tied to exact timing of any thundershowers and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and final Incheon station observations tonight will serve as the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$6,709結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 24°C for Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered at 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows from dropping much below recent daily averages of 23°C while preventing spikes above 25°C. Model consensus shows only modest variability tied to exact timing of any thundershowers and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and final Incheon station observations tonight will serve as the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,709結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature near 24°C for Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered at 24–25°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows from dropping much below recent daily averages of 23°C while preventing spikes above 25°C. Model consensus shows only modest variability tied to exact timing of any thundershowers and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and final Incheon station observations tonight will serve as the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions