Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Met Office guidance, points to peak Milan temperatures of 33–36°C on August 16 amid lingering high pressure and modest southerly flow, following Italy’s early-August heatwave that triggered red alerts for the city. Clear skies, subsidence warming, and the Po Valley’s urban heat island effect support the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C, with slight differences arising from forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. New 12z model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine advection and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日米蘭的最高溫度?
34°C 39%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 8%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
15%
34°C
39%
35°C
30%
36°C
8%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 8%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
15%
34°C
39%
35°C
30%
36°C
8%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Met Office guidance, points to peak Milan temperatures of 33–36°C on August 16 amid lingering high pressure and modest southerly flow, following Italy’s early-August heatwave that triggered red alerts for the city. Clear skies, subsidence warming, and the Po Valley’s urban heat island effect support the market’s tight clustering around 34–35°C, with slight differences arising from forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing. New 12z model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine advection and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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