Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 14, driving the 97.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover support this peak under typical August climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with urban heat island amplification factored into observational resolution criteria. A late shift in wind patterns, increased humidity, or unexpected afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 26°C or push it to 28°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before final measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月14日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
27°C 98%
28°C 2.1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,186 交易量
$50,186 交易量
2026-08-14
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
98%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
27°C 98%
28°C 2.1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,186 交易量
$50,186 交易量
2026-08-14
23°C或以下
$569 交易量
<1%
24°C
$11,156 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,475 交易量
<1%
26°C
$8,820 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,319 交易量
98%
28°C
$4,634 交易量
2%
29°C
$3,343 交易量
1%
30°C
$3,447 交易量
1%
31°C
$633 交易量
<1%
32°C
$864 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$3,157 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 14, driving the 97.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover support this peak under typical August climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with urban heat island amplification factored into observational resolution criteria. A late shift in wind patterns, increased humidity, or unexpected afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 26°C or push it to 28°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before final measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$50,186結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 14, driving the 97.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover support this peak under typical August climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with urban heat island amplification factored into observational resolution criteria. A late shift in wind patterns, increased humidity, or unexpected afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 26°C or push it to 28°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before final measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,186結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies and ensemble models have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 14, driving the 97.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover support this peak under typical August climatology, where average highs reach 27–28°C. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance, with urban heat island amplification factored into observational resolution criteria. A late shift in wind patterns, increased humidity, or unexpected afternoon cloud build-up could cap the high at 26°C or push it to 28°C, though model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before final measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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