Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a Tokyo high near 28–29°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market spreads between 27°C and 29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface solar heating, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo maintain warmth despite limited sunshine. Traders weigh these factors against August climatology showing typical highs near 31°C, noting that any delay in storm development or stronger afternoon clearing could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and regional model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日東京氣溫最高？
8月14日東京氣溫最高？
28°C 37%
27°C 33%
29°C 20%
26°C 8%
最新
$17,194 交易量
最新
$17,194 交易量
2026-08-14
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
33%
28°C
37%
29°C
20%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
27°C 33%
29°C 20%
26°C 8%
最新
$17,194 交易量
最新
$17,194 交易量
2026-08-14
22°C or below
$541 交易量
<1%
23°C
$529 交易量
<1%
24°C
$558 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,191 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,513 交易量
8%
27°C
$1,477 交易量
33%
28°C
$4,483 交易量
37%
29°C
$3,622 交易量
20%
30°C
$1,485 交易量
5%
31°C
$1,125 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$670 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a Tokyo high near 28–29°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market spreads between 27°C and 29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface solar heating, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo maintain warmth despite limited sunshine. Traders weigh these factors against August climatology showing typical highs near 31°C, noting that any delay in storm development or stronger afternoon clearing could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and regional model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$17,194結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a Tokyo high near 28–29°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market spreads between 27°C and 29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface solar heating, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo maintain warmth despite limited sunshine. Traders weigh these factors against August climatology showing typical highs near 31°C, noting that any delay in storm development or stronger afternoon clearing could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and regional model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,194結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological models point to a Tokyo high near 28–29°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms, creating tight market spreads between 27°C and 29°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface solar heating, while high humidity and urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo maintain warmth despite limited sunshine. Traders weigh these factors against August climatology showing typical highs near 31°C, noting that any delay in storm development or stronger afternoon clearing could push readings toward 29–30°C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and regional model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions