Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings. Regional models highlight the influence of southeasterly flow from the South China Sea and urban heat-island effects, while climatological baselines place August maxima near 32°C. The leading market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect this narrow consensus range, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing that could shave 1°C from the high. No anomalous heatwave or blocking pattern has emerged in the latest guidance, keeping higher outcomes (35°C+) at low implied odds. Final verification will depend on official station data released after the observation period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日深圳最高溫度?
34°C 43%
33°C 32%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
32%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C或以上
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 32%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
32%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings. Regional models highlight the influence of southeasterly flow from the South China Sea and urban heat-island effects, while climatological baselines place August maxima near 32°C. The leading market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect this narrow consensus range, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing that could shave 1°C from the high. No anomalous heatwave or blocking pattern has emerged in the latest guidance, keeping higher outcomes (35°C+) at low implied odds. Final verification will depend on official station data released after the observation period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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