**Official forecasts position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei's peak temperature on August 14.** Taiwan's Central Weather Administration projects a daytime high of 36°C (with lows near 27°C) under partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects in the basin. Timeanddate and AccuWeather align closely, indicating 35–36°C maxima amid 60–70% rain chances that may cap extremes through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters on the 35–37°C range because no typhoon, frontal system, or significant monsoon surge is expected to alter steering patterns or bring sustained cloudiness in the next 24–48 hours. Historical analogs for early-to-mid August show frequent peaks near 34–36°C when sea-surface temperatures remain elevated and subtropical ridges dominate. Updated model runs will be key ahead of resolution, as any earlier or heavier convection could shift the peak downward while clearer conditions could push it toward 37°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日臺北氣溫最高？
8月14日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 46%
35°C 29%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
最新
$10,769 交易量
最新
$10,769 交易量
2026-08-14
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
29%
36°C
46%
37°C
20%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 46%
35°C 29%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
最新
$10,769 交易量
最新
$10,769 交易量
2026-08-14
28°C or below
$475 交易量
<1%
29°C
$264 交易量
<1%
30°C
$267 交易量
<1%
31°C
$204 交易量
1%
32°C
$992 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,717 交易量
2%
34°C
$606 交易量
7%
35°C
$1,710 交易量
29%
36°C
$1,524 交易量
46%
37°C
$2,104 交易量
20%
38°C or higher
$906 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei's peak temperature on August 14.** Taiwan's Central Weather Administration projects a daytime high of 36°C (with lows near 27°C) under partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects in the basin. Timeanddate and AccuWeather align closely, indicating 35–36°C maxima amid 60–70% rain chances that may cap extremes through evaporative cooling and cloud cover.
Trader consensus clusters on the 35–37°C range because no typhoon, frontal system, or significant monsoon surge is expected to alter steering patterns or bring sustained cloudiness in the next 24–48 hours. Historical analogs for early-to-mid August show frequent peaks near 34–36°C when sea-surface temperatures remain elevated and subtropical ridges dominate. Updated model runs will be key ahead of resolution, as any earlier or heavier convection could shift the peak downward while clearer conditions could push it toward 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,769結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei's peak temperature on August 14.** Taiwan's Central Weather Administration projects a daytime high of 36°C (with lows near 27°C) under partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects in the basin. Timeanddate and AccuWeather align closely, indicating 35–36°C maxima amid 60–70% rain chances that may cap extremes through evaporative cooling and cloud cover.
Trader consensus clusters on the 35–37°C range because no typhoon, frontal system, or significant monsoon surge is expected to alter steering patterns or bring sustained cloudiness in the next 24–48 hours. Historical analogs for early-to-mid August show frequent peaks near 34–36°C when sea-surface temperatures remain elevated and subtropical ridges dominate. Updated model runs will be key ahead of resolution, as any earlier or heavier convection could shift the peak downward while clearer conditions could push it toward 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,769結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Official forecasts position 36°C as the leading outcome for Taipei's peak temperature on August 14.** Taiwan's Central Weather Administration projects a daytime high of 36°C (with lows near 27°C) under partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, consistent with typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, strong solar heating, and urban heat island effects in the basin. Timeanddate and AccuWeather align closely, indicating 35–36°C maxima amid 60–70% rain chances that may cap extremes through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters on the 35–37°C range because no typhoon, frontal system, or significant monsoon surge is expected to alter steering patterns or bring sustained cloudiness in the next 24–48 hours. Historical analogs for early-to-mid August show frequent peaks near 34–36°C when sea-surface temperatures remain elevated and subtropical ridges dominate. Updated model runs will be key ahead of resolution, as any earlier or heavier convection could shift the peak downward while clearer conditions could push it toward 37°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions