Trader consensus on Seattle's peak temperature for August 12 centers on the mid-70s, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicating a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical of Pacific Northwest summer conditions. A strong subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and support gradual daytime warming, yet variable wind speeds and potential afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty between the 74–77°F range. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, while model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of peak insolation and urban heat effects. New National Weather Service updates and morning observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日西雅圖的最高溫度?
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 11%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 11%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Seattle's peak temperature for August 12 centers on the mid-70s, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicating a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical of Pacific Northwest summer conditions. A strong subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and support gradual daytime warming, yet variable wind speeds and potential afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty between the 74–77°F range. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, while model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of peak insolation and urban heat effects. New National Weather Service updates and morning observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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