Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on August 12, keeping official highs (typically measured at KSFO) centered in the 69–72°F range according to National Weather Service and private model guidance. This setup, reinforced by the cool California Current and coastal upwelling, produces frequent low stratus and fog that limit solar insolation even as interior valleys warm. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 70–71°F and 72–73°F contracts aligns with this typical late-summer pattern, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on unexpected layer erosion or stronger offshore flow. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月12日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月12日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 8%
$22,622 交易量
$22,622 交易量
2026-08-12
華氏63度或以下
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或以上
<1%
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 11%
74-75°F 8%
$22,622 交易量
$22,622 交易量
2026-08-12
華氏63度或以下
$1,047 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$1,561 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$1,616 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$4,385 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$4,593 交易量
42%
72-73°F
$2,002 交易量
40%
74-75°F
$1,539 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$2,925 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$2,087 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$481 交易量
<1%
82°F或以上
$386 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on August 12, keeping official highs (typically measured at KSFO) centered in the 69–72°F range according to National Weather Service and private model guidance. This setup, reinforced by the cool California Current and coastal upwelling, produces frequent low stratus and fog that limit solar insolation even as interior valleys warm. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 70–71°F and 72–73°F contracts aligns with this typical late-summer pattern, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on unexpected layer erosion or stronger offshore flow. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$22,622結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on August 12, keeping official highs (typically measured at KSFO) centered in the 69–72°F range according to National Weather Service and private model guidance. This setup, reinforced by the cool California Current and coastal upwelling, produces frequent low stratus and fog that limit solar insolation even as interior valleys warm. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 70–71°F and 72–73°F contracts aligns with this typical late-summer pattern, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on unexpected layer erosion or stronger offshore flow. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,622結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETPersistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on August 12, keeping official highs (typically measured at KSFO) centered in the 69–72°F range according to National Weather Service and private model guidance. This setup, reinforced by the cool California Current and coastal upwelling, produces frequent low stratus and fog that limit solar insolation even as interior valleys warm. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 70–71°F and 72–73°F contracts aligns with this typical late-summer pattern, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on unexpected layer erosion or stronger offshore flow. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions