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icon for 8月12日香港最高溫度？

8月12日香港最高溫度？

icon for 8月12日香港最高溫度？

8月12日香港最高溫度？

Ended: 8月 12

8月 13

8月 14

8月 15

Ended: 8月 12

8月 13

8月 14

8月 15

34°C 100.0%

28°C或以下 <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$213,066 交易量

34°C 100.0%

28°C或以下 <1%

29°C <1%

30°C <1%

Polymarket

$213,066 交易量

28°C或以下

$1,194 交易量

否

29°C

$1,260 交易量

否

30°C

$6,308 交易量

否

31°C

$5,410 交易量

否

32°C

$29,338 交易量

否

33°C

$36,747 交易量

否

34°C

$48,984 交易量

是

35°C

$35,252 交易量

否

36°C

$34,672 交易量

否

37°C

$11,457 交易量

否

38°C或以上

$2,444 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$213,066
結束日期
2026-08-12
市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a maximum air temperature of 34°C on August 12, 2026, under sunny periods with light southerly winds and high humidity, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This result fits August climatology for the region, where urban heat-island effects and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns commonly produce afternoon peaks near 31–34°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and short-range model guidance heavily, leaving negligible implied probability for deviations. A realistic challenge would require a post-event quality-control revision by the Observatory or a shift in the official reference station, both rare once preliminary values are released.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$213,066
結束日期
2026-08-12
市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

相關

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月12日香港最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "34°C" at 100%, followed by "28°C或以下" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月12日香港最高溫度？" has generated $213.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月12日香港最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月12日香港最高溫度？" is "34°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C或以下" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月12日香港最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.