Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather project daytime highs in Jeddah of 38–41°C for August 15, consistent with typical August coastal conditions moderated by Red Sea humidity near 50% and light northerly winds. Model guidance shows potential for peaks near or above 40°C under mostly sunny skies, though variability in cloud cover and exact steering patterns introduces uncertainty around the precise maximum. Historical climatology places average August highs at 37–38°C, providing context for why trader-implied odds favor 40°C or higher at 76% while assigning meaningful probability to 39°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月15日的最高溫度?
40°C或以上 64%
39°C 18%
38°C 11%
37°C 9%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
9%
38°C
11%
39°C
18%
40°C或以上
76%
40°C或以上 64%
39°C 18%
38°C 11%
37°C 9%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
9%
38°C
11%
39°C
18%
40°C或以上
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather project daytime highs in Jeddah of 38–41°C for August 15, consistent with typical August coastal conditions moderated by Red Sea humidity near 50% and light northerly winds. Model guidance shows potential for peaks near or above 40°C under mostly sunny skies, though variability in cloud cover and exact steering patterns introduces uncertainty around the precise maximum. Historical climatology places average August highs at 37–38°C, providing context for why trader-implied odds favor 40°C or higher at 76% while assigning meaningful probability to 39°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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