The market-implied odds for a 27°C high in Istanbul today reflect the consensus from operational weather models and official observations, which show stable summer conditions with peak temperatures aligning precisely at that level under current pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate limited variability, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where daytime maxima typically stabilize near seasonal norms absent major synoptic shifts. Traders have converged on this outcome given real-time data from monitoring stations, leaving little room for deviation at this stage of the day. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or an unforecasted convective cell could still alter readings by a degree or two before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月15日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,372 交易量
$38,372 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,372 交易量
$38,372 交易量
2026-08-15
22°C or below
$433 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,081 交易量
<1%
24°C
$2,710 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,135 交易量
<1%
26°C
$14,080 交易量
<1%
27°C
$7,161 交易量
100%
28°C
$4,236 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,509 交易量
<1%
30°C
$313 交易量
<1%
31°C
$342 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$372 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds for a 27°C high in Istanbul today reflect the consensus from operational weather models and official observations, which show stable summer conditions with peak temperatures aligning precisely at that level under current pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate limited variability, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where daytime maxima typically stabilize near seasonal norms absent major synoptic shifts. Traders have converged on this outcome given real-time data from monitoring stations, leaving little room for deviation at this stage of the day. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or an unforecasted convective cell could still alter readings by a degree or two before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$38,372結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds for a 27°C high in Istanbul today reflect the consensus from operational weather models and official observations, which show stable summer conditions with peak temperatures aligning precisely at that level under current pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate limited variability, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where daytime maxima typically stabilize near seasonal norms absent major synoptic shifts. Traders have converged on this outcome given real-time data from monitoring stations, leaving little room for deviation at this stage of the day. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or an unforecasted convective cell could still alter readings by a degree or two before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,372結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds for a 27°C high in Istanbul today reflect the consensus from operational weather models and official observations, which show stable summer conditions with peak temperatures aligning precisely at that level under current pressure patterns and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs indicate limited variability, consistent with mid-August climatology for the region where daytime maxima typically stabilize near seasonal norms absent major synoptic shifts. Traders have converged on this outcome given real-time data from monitoring stations, leaving little room for deviation at this stage of the day. A late-afternoon sea breeze strengthening or an unforecasted convective cell could still alter readings by a degree or two before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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