Official measurements from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm a daily maximum of 28°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly flow limited daytime heating below earlier seasonal forecasts of 30–31°C, keeping temperatures near the lower end of August climatology for the region. This consensus reflects real-time station data rather than models alone. A late-day measurement revision, differing microclimate readings between Seoul and Incheon stations, or post-event quality control adjustments represent the only realistic paths that could alter the recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月15日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,692 交易量
$111,692 交易量
2026-08-15
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,692 交易量
$111,692 交易量
2026-08-15
24°C or below
$379 交易量
No
25°C
$1,341 交易量
No
26°C
$19,625 交易量
No
27°C
$17,416 交易量
No
28°C
$28,455 交易量
Yes
29°C
$17,005 交易量
No
30°C
$10,091 交易量
No
31°C
$7,375 交易量
No
32°C
$6,613 交易量
No
33°C
$1,928 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$1,463 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm a daily maximum of 28°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly flow limited daytime heating below earlier seasonal forecasts of 30–31°C, keeping temperatures near the lower end of August climatology for the region. This consensus reflects real-time station data rather than models alone. A late-day measurement revision, differing microclimate readings between Seoul and Incheon stations, or post-event quality control adjustments represent the only realistic paths that could alter the recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$111,692結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm a daily maximum of 28°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly flow limited daytime heating below earlier seasonal forecasts of 30–31°C, keeping temperatures near the lower end of August climatology for the region. This consensus reflects real-time station data rather than models alone. A late-day measurement revision, differing microclimate readings between Seoul and Incheon stations, or post-event quality control adjustments represent the only realistic paths that could alter the recorded high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$111,692結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official measurements from the Korea Meteorological Administration confirm a daily maximum of 28°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and easterly flow limited daytime heating below earlier seasonal forecasts of 30–31°C, keeping temperatures near the lower end of August climatology for the region. This consensus reflects real-time station data rather than models alone. A late-day measurement revision, differing microclimate readings between Seoul and Incheon stations, or post-event quality control adjustments represent the only realistic paths that could alter the recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions