Forecast models from major meteorological agencies consistently project a daily maximum of 20°C in Moscow on August 15, 2026, matching the long-term August climatological average and recent ensemble runs showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 20°C as the highest temperature. Realistic challenges include late-day shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or model revisions from updated observational data that could push the peak slightly higher or lower before markets close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日莫斯科的最高溫度？
8月15日莫斯科的最高溫度？
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,318 交易量
$33,318 交易量
2026-08-15
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,318 交易量
$33,318 交易量
2026-08-15
15°C or below
$715 交易量
<1%
16°C
$437 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,800 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,240 交易量
<1%
19°C
$12,481 交易量
<1%
20°C
$7,336 交易量
100%
21°C
$4,068 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,078 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,226 交易量
<1%
24°C
$645 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$291 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies consistently project a daily maximum of 20°C in Moscow on August 15, 2026, matching the long-term August climatological average and recent ensemble runs showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 20°C as the highest temperature. Realistic challenges include late-day shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or model revisions from updated observational data that could push the peak slightly higher or lower before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$33,318結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies consistently project a daily maximum of 20°C in Moscow on August 15, 2026, matching the long-term August climatological average and recent ensemble runs showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 20°C as the highest temperature. Realistic challenges include late-day shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or model revisions from updated observational data that could push the peak slightly higher or lower before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,318結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major meteorological agencies consistently project a daily maximum of 20°C in Moscow on August 15, 2026, matching the long-term August climatological average and recent ensemble runs showing stable high-pressure conditions with limited daytime heating. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 20°C as the highest temperature. Realistic challenges include late-day shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or model revisions from updated observational data that could push the peak slightly higher or lower before markets close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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