Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 13, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent high humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon, combined with increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low chance of isolated showers, is expected to limit peak heating while steering patterns keep warmer air in place. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slight upward bias from clearer morning conditions. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by Incheon stations, with any shift in timing of cloud buildup or precipitation the key variable that could favor 31°C or push toward 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
32°C 37%
33°C 33%
31°C 22%
34°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
37%
33°C
33%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 33%
31°C 22%
34°C 6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
37%
33°C
33%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 13, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent high humidity from the East Asian summer monsoon, combined with increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low chance of isolated showers, is expected to limit peak heating while steering patterns keep warmer air in place. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet recent model runs show slight upward bias from clearer morning conditions. Resolution hinges on the official daily high reported by Incheon stations, with any shift in timing of cloud buildup or precipitation the key variable that could favor 31°C or push toward 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions