Traders have placed near-certain odds on a daily high of 26°C or above in Jinan on August 12, reflecting consistent midsummer climatology and recent model guidance. August averages feature highs near 30–32°C across the region, with official Shandong Meteorological Observatory data showing persistent heat exceeding 35°C earlier in the month and forecasts for the 12th projecting 28–31°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. National agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration emphasize low day-to-day variability during peak season, with minimal risk of sharp cooling unless an atypical frontal passage develops. This market-implied consensus aligns with historical patterns where temperatures below 26°C occur only in outlier years influenced by strong monsoon shifts. Updated short-range model runs or real-time observations could still refine the exact peak if localized cloud cover or precipitation intensifies unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日濟南氣溫最高?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,219 交易量
$10,219 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$10,219 交易量
$10,219 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have placed near-certain odds on a daily high of 26°C or above in Jinan on August 12, reflecting consistent midsummer climatology and recent model guidance. August averages feature highs near 30–32°C across the region, with official Shandong Meteorological Observatory data showing persistent heat exceeding 35°C earlier in the month and forecasts for the 12th projecting 28–31°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. National agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration emphasize low day-to-day variability during peak season, with minimal risk of sharp cooling unless an atypical frontal passage develops. This market-implied consensus aligns with historical patterns where temperatures below 26°C occur only in outlier years influenced by strong monsoon shifts. Updated short-range model runs or real-time observations could still refine the exact peak if localized cloud cover or precipitation intensifies unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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