**Forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, are keeping highs well below the long-term August average of 15–17°C. Recent observations show daytime peaks near 10–11°C under similar setups, with no significant warming trend or model disagreement emerging in the latest runs. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term dynamical factors and typical mid-August variability more heavily than climatological baselines, though minor forecast revisions could still shift odds within the narrow 10–13°C range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月13日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
11°C 48%
12°C 32%
10°C 12%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
12%
11°C
48%
12°C
32%
13°C
6%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 48%
12°C 32%
10°C 12%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
7°C or below
$1,012 交易量
<1%
8°C
$65 交易量
1%
9°C
$229 交易量
3%
10°C
$368 交易量
12%
11°C
$2,076 交易量
48%
12°C
$313 交易量
32%
13°C
$318 交易量
6%
14°C
$196 交易量
2%
15°C
$58 交易量
1%
16°C
$283 交易量
<1%
17°C or higher
$244 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, are keeping highs well below the long-term August average of 15–17°C. Recent observations show daytime peaks near 10–11°C under similar setups, with no significant warming trend or model disagreement emerging in the latest runs. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term dynamical factors and typical mid-August variability more heavily than climatological baselines, though minor forecast revisions could still shift odds within the narrow 10–13°C range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$5,162結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, are keeping highs well below the long-term August average of 15–17°C. Recent observations show daytime peaks near 10–11°C under similar setups, with no significant warming trend or model disagreement emerging in the latest runs. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term dynamical factors and typical mid-August variability more heavily than climatological baselines, though minor forecast revisions could still shift odds within the narrow 10–13°C range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,162結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET**Forecast models from sources like the BBC and Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 11–12°C in Buenos Aires on August 13, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 46.5% and 33.5% implied probability.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with easterly to southeasterly winds, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating, are keeping highs well below the long-term August average of 15–17°C. Recent observations show daytime peaks near 10–11°C under similar setups, with no significant warming trend or model disagreement emerging in the latest runs. Traders appear to be weighting these near-term dynamical factors and typical mid-August variability more heavily than climatological baselines, though minor forecast revisions could still shift odds within the narrow 10–13°C range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions