Divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models are driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Busan’s August 12 maximum, with 31°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Persistent warm, humid flow along the western edge of the North Pacific High continues to support elevated daytime temperatures and tropical-night conditions, while scattered cloud cover or late-day sprinkles could cap peaks near the lower end of the range. Coastal sea-breeze effects and model differences in boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty this close to the observation window, consistent with typical August variability when historical highs average 29–31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日釜山的最高溫度？
8月12日釜山的最高溫度？
31°C 34%
32°C 30%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
最新
$11,362 交易量
最新
$11,362 交易量
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
19%
31°C
34%
32°C
30%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 34%
32°C 30%
30°C 19%
33°C 10%
最新
$11,362 交易量
最新
$11,362 交易量
2026-08-12
25°C或以下
$499 交易量
<1%
26°C
$284 交易量
<1%
27°C
$586 交易量
1%
28°C
$603 交易量
2%
29°C
$898 交易量
7%
30°C
$3,612 交易量
19%
31°C
$1,255 交易量
34%
32°C
$1,858 交易量
30%
33°C
$941 交易量
10%
34°C
$485 交易量
1%
35°C或以上
$342 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models are driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Busan’s August 12 maximum, with 31°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Persistent warm, humid flow along the western edge of the North Pacific High continues to support elevated daytime temperatures and tropical-night conditions, while scattered cloud cover or late-day sprinkles could cap peaks near the lower end of the range. Coastal sea-breeze effects and model differences in boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty this close to the observation window, consistent with typical August variability when historical highs average 29–31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$11,362結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models are driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Busan’s August 12 maximum, with 31°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Persistent warm, humid flow along the western edge of the North Pacific High continues to support elevated daytime temperatures and tropical-night conditions, while scattered cloud cover or late-day sprinkles could cap peaks near the lower end of the range. Coastal sea-breeze effects and model differences in boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty this close to the observation window, consistent with typical August variability when historical highs average 29–31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,362結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETDivergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models are driving the tight clustering around 30–32°C for Busan’s August 12 maximum, with 31°C holding the highest market-implied probability. Persistent warm, humid flow along the western edge of the North Pacific High continues to support elevated daytime temperatures and tropical-night conditions, while scattered cloud cover or late-day sprinkles could cap peaks near the lower end of the range. Coastal sea-breeze effects and model differences in boundary-layer moisture add further uncertainty this close to the observation window, consistent with typical August variability when historical highs average 29–31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions