Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日香港最高溫度?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,763 交易量
$237,763 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,763 交易量
$237,763 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions