Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and late-summer climatology that typically produces highs of 93–99°F. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant August sunshine supported strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecast models from NOAA showed strong consensus on this range days in advance, with minimal spread that left little room for deviation once observations were finalized. Only an unexpected mesoscale feature such as localized heavy convection or a rapid frontal passage could have altered the recorded peak, but no such development occurred.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日休斯敦的最高溫度？
8月12日休斯敦的最高溫度？
94-95°F 100.0%
華氏83度或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$45,862 交易量
$45,862 交易量
2026-08-12
華氏83度或以下
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91華氏度
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102°F或更高
否
94-95°F 100.0%
華氏83度或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$45,862 交易量
$45,862 交易量
2026-08-12
華氏83度或以下
$440 交易量
否
84-85°F
$587 交易量
否
86-87°F
$1,537 交易量
否
88-89°F
$2,603 交易量
否
90-91華氏度
$4,528 交易量
否
92-93°F
$10,587 交易量
否
94-95°F
$10,354 交易量
是
96-97°F
$10,759 交易量
否
98-99°F
$2,191 交易量
否
100-101°F
$1,647 交易量
否
102°F或更高
$630 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and late-summer climatology that typically produces highs of 93–99°F. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant August sunshine supported strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecast models from NOAA showed strong consensus on this range days in advance, with minimal spread that left little room for deviation once observations were finalized. Only an unexpected mesoscale feature such as localized heavy convection or a rapid frontal passage could have altered the recorded peak, but no such development occurred.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$45,862結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and late-summer climatology that typically produces highs of 93–99°F. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant August sunshine supported strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecast models from NOAA showed strong consensus on this range days in advance, with minimal spread that left little room for deviation once observations were finalized. Only an unexpected mesoscale feature such as localized heavy convection or a rapid frontal passage could have altered the recorded peak, but no such development occurred.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,862結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and late-summer climatology that typically produces highs of 93–99°F. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant August sunshine supported strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Forecast models from NOAA showed strong consensus on this range days in advance, with minimal spread that left little room for deviation once observations were finalized. Only an unexpected mesoscale feature such as localized heavy convection or a rapid frontal passage could have altered the recorded peak, but no such development occurred.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions