Official observations from Mexico City weather stations, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reporting, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on August 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limited further warming. This aligns with the city's typical rainy-season August pattern, where highs average near 24°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection, and matches live model consensus from AccuWeather and similar sources projecting 24–26°C. The market's near-certain 25°C outcome reflects traders incorporating these verified measurements over earlier forecast spreads. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision due to station calibration issues or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月12日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城8月12日的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$22,213 交易量
$22,213 交易量
2026-08-12
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$22,213 交易量
$22,213 交易量
2026-08-12
19°C或以下
$493 交易量
否
20°C
$569 交易量
否
21°C
$1,086 交易量
否
22°C
$776 交易量
否
23°C
$1,978 交易量
否
24°C
$3,153 交易量
否
25°C
$4,765 交易量
是
26°C
$4,668 交易量
否
27°C
$1,948 交易量
否
28°C
$1,503 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$1,274 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Mexico City weather stations, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reporting, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on August 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limited further warming. This aligns with the city's typical rainy-season August pattern, where highs average near 24°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection, and matches live model consensus from AccuWeather and similar sources projecting 24–26°C. The market's near-certain 25°C outcome reflects traders incorporating these verified measurements over earlier forecast spreads. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision due to station calibration issues or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$22,213結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Mexico City weather stations, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reporting, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on August 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limited further warming. This aligns with the city's typical rainy-season August pattern, where highs average near 24°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection, and matches live model consensus from AccuWeather and similar sources projecting 24–26°C. The market's near-certain 25°C outcome reflects traders incorporating these verified measurements over earlier forecast spreads. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision due to station calibration issues or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,213結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Mexico City weather stations, including those aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reporting, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on August 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers that limited further warming. This aligns with the city's typical rainy-season August pattern, where highs average near 24°C amid high humidity and afternoon convection, and matches live model consensus from AccuWeather and similar sources projecting 24–26°C. The market's near-certain 25°C outcome reflects traders incorporating these verified measurements over earlier forecast spreads. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision due to station calibration issues or microclimate discrepancies, though such adjustments remain rare after initial quality control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions