Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 12, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance showed persistent overnight warmth under typical subtropical conditions. High moisture content, light winds, and urban heat retention prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered near 81°F at the official Miami International Airport station. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows run 76-80°F but often exceed that during humid, stable regimes without frontal passages. The 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified data. Only an unexpected late-night shower or instrument anomaly at the primary reporting site could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日邁阿密的最低溫度？
8月12日邁阿密的最低溫度？
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$12,677 交易量
$12,677 交易量
2026-08-12
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
是
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$12,677 交易量
$12,677 交易量
2026-08-12
71°F或以下
$409 交易量
否
72-73°F
$2,485 交易量
否
74-75°F
$880 交易量
否
76-77°F
$503 交易量
否
78-79°F
$1,632 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,538 交易量
是
82-83°F
$1,776 交易量
否
84-85°F
$602 交易量
否
86-87°F
$857 交易量
否
88-89°F
$1,676 交易量
否
華氏90度或以上
$320 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 12, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance showed persistent overnight warmth under typical subtropical conditions. High moisture content, light winds, and urban heat retention prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered near 81°F at the official Miami International Airport station. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows run 76-80°F but often exceed that during humid, stable regimes without frontal passages. The 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified data. Only an unexpected late-night shower or instrument anomaly at the primary reporting site could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$12,677結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 12, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance showed persistent overnight warmth under typical subtropical conditions. High moisture content, light winds, and urban heat retention prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered near 81°F at the official Miami International Airport station. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows run 76-80°F but often exceed that during humid, stable regimes without frontal passages. The 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified data. Only an unexpected late-night shower or instrument anomaly at the primary reporting site could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,677結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F low for Miami on August 12, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance showed persistent overnight warmth under typical subtropical conditions. High moisture content, light winds, and urban heat retention prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping the minimum tightly clustered near 81°F at the official Miami International Airport station. This aligns with August climatology, where average lows run 76-80°F but often exceed that during humid, stable regimes without frontal passages. The 100% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty range in verified data. Only an unexpected late-night shower or instrument anomaly at the primary reporting site could realistically shift the recorded minimum outside this band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions