Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a peak temperature of 92–93°F in Miami on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime mixing and enhance heat retention. Historical climatology shows mid-August daily maxima averaging near 90°F, with recent observations confirming a brief warming trend consistent with the leading market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the 94–95°F bin next due to uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze timing, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 24%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或更高
1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 24%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts point to a peak temperature of 92–93°F in Miami on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limit daytime mixing and enhance heat retention. Historical climatology shows mid-August daily maxima averaging near 90°F, with recent observations confirming a brief warming trend consistent with the leading market-implied probability. Traders are weighting the 94–95°F bin next due to uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze timing, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions