National Weather Service guidance projects a Miami high near 92°F on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and afternoon sea breezes capping further warming and aligning closely with the 91°F climatological normal. This consensus from recent model runs and official point forecasts underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 92-93°F outcome at 66.5%, while limiting upside risk for higher bins amid elevated dew points that boost heat indices above 105°F without raising air temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range and historical precedents, with final NWS updates expected through the morning providing the last resolution inputs before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月11日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 69%
94-95°F 17%
90-91°F 15%
88-89°F 1.1%
最新
$16,869 交易量
最新
$16,869 交易量
2026-08-11
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
69%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
華氏100度或以上
<1%
92-93°F 69%
94-95°F 17%
90-91°F 15%
88-89°F 1.1%
最新
$16,869 交易量
最新
$16,869 交易量
2026-08-11
81°F或以下
$382 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$588 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$985 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$441 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$746 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$3,957 交易量
15%
92-93°F
$6,786 交易量
69%
94-95°F
$1,489 交易量
17%
96-97°F
$655 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$408 交易量
1%
華氏100度或以上
$458 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance projects a Miami high near 92°F on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and afternoon sea breezes capping further warming and aligning closely with the 91°F climatological normal. This consensus from recent model runs and official point forecasts underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 92-93°F outcome at 66.5%, while limiting upside risk for higher bins amid elevated dew points that boost heat indices above 105°F without raising air temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range and historical precedents, with final NWS updates expected through the morning providing the last resolution inputs before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$16,869結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance projects a Miami high near 92°F on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and afternoon sea breezes capping further warming and aligning closely with the 91°F climatological normal. This consensus from recent model runs and official point forecasts underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 92-93°F outcome at 66.5%, while limiting upside risk for higher bins amid elevated dew points that boost heat indices above 105°F without raising air temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range and historical precedents, with final NWS updates expected through the morning providing the last resolution inputs before official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,869結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNational Weather Service guidance projects a Miami high near 92°F on August 11 under typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with light easterly flow and afternoon sea breezes capping further warming and aligning closely with the 91°F climatological normal. This consensus from recent model runs and official point forecasts underpins the market-implied odds favoring the 92-93°F outcome at 66.5%, while limiting upside risk for higher bins amid elevated dew points that boost heat indices above 105°F without raising air temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range and historical precedents, with final NWS updates expected through the morning providing the last resolution inputs before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions