Forecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
8月11日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
12°C 56%
13°C 35%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
56%
13°C
35%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C或以上
<1%
12°C 56%
13°C 35%
14°C 6%
11°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
6°C或以下
$503 交易量
<1%
7°C
$503 交易量
<1%
8°C
$481 交易量
<1%
9°C
$350 交易量
<1%
10°C
$27 交易量
2%
11°C
$658 交易量
5%
12°C
$1,207 交易量
56%
13°C
$2,274 交易量
35%
14°C
$615 交易量
6%
15°C
$206 交易量
<1%
16°C或以上
$498 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$7,322結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,322結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETForecast models from sources like NIWA, MetService, and international agencies show Wellington's August 11 maximum likely settling near 12–13°C, reflecting typical winter maritime variability with limited diurnal heating under variable cloud and moderate winds. Northerly flows can briefly elevate readings toward 13°C by advecting milder air, while stronger southerlies or increased cloud cover favor the lower end around 12°C; sea-surface temperatures near 12–14°C further moderate extremes in this coastal setting. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in the short-range window, explaining the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with historical August highs averaging 13°C providing context but little resolution power two days out. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the distinction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions