Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Shanghai on August 11, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Typical midsummer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high produce overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, moderated by high humidity, light winds, and potential cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency around 26–28°C, with slight upward revisions possible from urban heat effects or reduced rainfall, while historical August baselines average 25–27°C overnight. Traders weigh these factors against any late adjustments from updated ensemble guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日上海最低溫度？
8月11日上海最低溫度？
27°C 52%
28°C 26%
26°C 18%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
52%
28°C
26%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 26%
26°C 18%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
22°C或以下
$721 交易量
<1%
23°C
$234 交易量
<1%
24°C
$11 交易量
2%
25°C
$25 交易量
5%
26°C
$222 交易量
18%
27°C
$664 交易量
52%
28°C
$588 交易量
26%
29°C
$233 交易量
2%
30°C
$20 交易量
1%
31°C
$15 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$330 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Shanghai on August 11, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Typical midsummer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high produce overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, moderated by high humidity, light winds, and potential cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency around 26–28°C, with slight upward revisions possible from urban heat effects or reduced rainfall, while historical August baselines average 25–27°C overnight. Traders weigh these factors against any late adjustments from updated ensemble guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$3,063結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Shanghai on August 11, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Typical midsummer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high produce overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, moderated by high humidity, light winds, and potential cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency around 26–28°C, with slight upward revisions possible from urban heat effects or reduced rainfall, while historical August baselines average 25–27°C overnight. Traders weigh these factors against any late adjustments from updated ensemble guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,063結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C in Shanghai on August 11, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for that outcome. Typical midsummer conditions under the western Pacific subtropical high produce overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, moderated by high humidity, light winds, and potential cloud cover or showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show consistency around 26–28°C, with slight upward revisions possible from urban heat effects or reduced rainfall, while historical August baselines average 25–27°C overnight. Traders weigh these factors against any late adjustments from updated ensemble guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions