Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from an approaching tropical system on August 10, suppressing daytime heating and limiting nighttime radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 26–28°C in Shanghai. High humidity and light winds associated with the precipitation further moderate overnight drops, while steering patterns keep the city under a moist, overcast regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow lows below 25°C. With 27°C and 28°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs and potential timing shifts in the rain band. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 25–26°C, but the current setup favors the higher end of that range. Updated forecasts ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日上海最低溫度？
8月10日上海最低溫度？
27°C 67%
28°C 25%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
12%
27°C
67%
28°C
25%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
1%
27°C 67%
28°C 25%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
21°C或以下
$12 交易量
2%
22°C
$12 交易量
5%
23°C
$12 交易量
5%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
7%
26°C
$11 交易量
12%
27°C
$13 交易量
67%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$18 交易量
9%
30°C
$27 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$27 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from an approaching tropical system on August 10, suppressing daytime heating and limiting nighttime radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 26–28°C in Shanghai. High humidity and light winds associated with the precipitation further moderate overnight drops, while steering patterns keep the city under a moist, overcast regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow lows below 25°C. With 27°C and 28°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs and potential timing shifts in the rain band. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 25–26°C, but the current setup favors the higher end of that range. Updated forecasts ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$133結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from an approaching tropical system on August 10, suppressing daytime heating and limiting nighttime radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 26–28°C in Shanghai. High humidity and light winds associated with the precipitation further moderate overnight drops, while steering patterns keep the city under a moist, overcast regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow lows below 25°C. With 27°C and 28°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs and potential timing shifts in the rain band. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 25–26°C, but the current setup favors the higher end of that range. Updated forecasts ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$133結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall from an approaching tropical system on August 10, suppressing daytime heating and limiting nighttime radiative cooling to produce minimum temperatures near 26–28°C in Shanghai. High humidity and light winds associated with the precipitation further moderate overnight drops, while steering patterns keep the city under a moist, overcast regime rather than clearer conditions that would allow lows below 25°C. With 27°C and 28°C outcomes nearly tied in market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs and potential timing shifts in the rain band. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 25–26°C, but the current setup favors the higher end of that range. Updated forecasts ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions