Trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 8 high temperature clusters tightly around the 13–14 °C outcomes because the latest MetService and global model runs place the city near its long-term August average of 14 °C under a transitional synoptic pattern. A southerly flow behind an approaching front is expected to limit daytime warming, while limited cloud cover and light winds could allow brief radiative heating to push readings marginally higher. Recent days have run cooler than normal, reinforcing the slight edge for 13 °C, yet any delay in the frontal timing or a brief northerly shift could add the extra degree. Ensemble spread remains modest given the short forecast horizon, keeping the two leading bins nearly even.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
13°C 49%
14°C 45%
15°C 7%
12°C 4%
$22,641 交易量
$22,641 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
49%
14°C
45%
15°C
7%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
14°C 45%
15°C 7%
12°C 4%
$22,641 交易量
$22,641 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
49%
14°C
45%
15°C
7%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 8 high temperature clusters tightly around the 13–14 °C outcomes because the latest MetService and global model runs place the city near its long-term August average of 14 °C under a transitional synoptic pattern. A southerly flow behind an approaching front is expected to limit daytime warming, while limited cloud cover and light winds could allow brief radiative heating to push readings marginally higher. Recent days have run cooler than normal, reinforcing the slight edge for 13 °C, yet any delay in the frontal timing or a brief northerly shift could add the extra degree. Ensemble spread remains modest given the short forecast horizon, keeping the two leading bins nearly even.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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