Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 8 points to a daily high near 90–92 °F, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely limiting peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer moisture typical of late-summer South Florida are expected to trigger convection by midday, keeping surface temperatures from climbing much above the low 90s. The narrow market split between 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F reflects modest ensemble spread in convective timing and intensity, consistent with historical August variability when morning soundings show weak mid-level capping. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations from Miami International Airport will be the key near-term data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 42%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 5%
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 46%
92-93°F 42%
88-89°F 8%
94-95°F 5%
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 8 points to a daily high near 90–92 °F, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms likely limiting peak heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Sea-breeze convergence and high boundary-layer moisture typical of late-summer South Florida are expected to trigger convection by midday, keeping surface temperatures from climbing much above the low 90s. The narrow market split between 90–91 °F and 92–93 °F reflects modest ensemble spread in convective timing and intensity, consistent with historical August variability when morning soundings show weak mid-level capping. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations from Miami International Airport will be the key near-term data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions