**Current short-range forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature in Guangzhou on August 7 likely falling in the 36–38°C range, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal monsoon influences that favor strong daytime heating.** Guangzhou’s location in the Pearl River Delta amplifies this through the urban heat island effect, where concrete and reduced vegetation trap warmth, pushing readings 1–3°C above rural baselines amid high humidity that slows nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover or precipitation expected mid-week, supporting radiative heating toward 37°C, while any late-day convection or typhoon-related moisture could cap the maximum nearer 36°C. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline from broader warming trends and prior heat episodes increases the odds of upper-30s readings, with traders weighing these variables against resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日廣州最高溫度?
37°C 30%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
33°C 15%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
26%
37°C
30%
38°C
22%
39°C
12%
40°C或更高
2%
37°C 30%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
33°C 15%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
26%
37°C
30%
38°C
22%
39°C
12%
40°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current short-range forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature in Guangzhou on August 7 likely falling in the 36–38°C range, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and seasonal monsoon influences that favor strong daytime heating.** Guangzhou’s location in the Pearl River Delta amplifies this through the urban heat island effect, where concrete and reduced vegetation trap warmth, pushing readings 1–3°C above rural baselines amid high humidity that slows nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover or precipitation expected mid-week, supporting radiative heating toward 37°C, while any late-day convection or typhoon-related moisture could cap the maximum nearer 36°C. Historical August averages hover near 33°C, but 2026’s elevated baseline from broader warming trends and prior heat episodes increases the odds of upper-30s readings, with traders weighing these variables against resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions