Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 project a maximum of 25°C under sunny intervals, following a 29°C peak the prior day and aligning with seasonal norms near 23°C. This drives the dominant 52% implied probability for 25°C, as traders weigh model consensus on modest cooling from high pressure and Atlantic influences against minor upside risks to 26°C from localized warming. Lower odds for 24°C or below reflect limited variability in current observations, while probabilities above 27°C remain negligible given the absence of heatwave conditions or forecast revisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日倫敦的最高溫度?
25°C 52%
26°C 34%
24°C 14%
27°C 1.3%
$75,810 交易量
$75,810 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
14%
25°C
52%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 34%
24°C 14%
27°C 1.3%
$75,810 交易量
$75,810 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
14%
25°C
52%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 project a maximum of 25°C under sunny intervals, following a 29°C peak the prior day and aligning with seasonal norms near 23°C. This drives the dominant 52% implied probability for 25°C, as traders weigh model consensus on modest cooling from high pressure and Atlantic influences against minor upside risks to 26°C from localized warming. Lower odds for 24°C or below reflect limited variability in current observations, while probabilities above 27°C remain negligible given the absence of heatwave conditions or forecast revisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions