Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate sunny intervals with a daytime high near 25°C and overnight lows shaped by moderate westerly winds and limited cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around an 18°C minimum at 52.5% implied probability and 19°C at 35.0%. These outcomes align with current model consensus favoring milder nocturnal temperatures than the seasonal average low near 13°C, driven by high-pressure influence reducing radiative cooling. Key upcoming updates from official monitoring will refine wind patterns and humidity levels that directly affect the daily minimum threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日倫敦的最低溫度?
18°C 62%
19°C 26%
17°C 11.8%
16°C <1%
$37,803 交易量
$37,803 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
17%
18°C
54%
19°C
33%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 62%
19°C 26%
17°C 11.8%
16°C <1%
$37,803 交易量
$37,803 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
17%
18°C
54%
19°C
33%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 indicate sunny intervals with a daytime high near 25°C and overnight lows shaped by moderate westerly winds and limited cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around an 18°C minimum at 52.5% implied probability and 19°C at 35.0%. These outcomes align with current model consensus favoring milder nocturnal temperatures than the seasonal average low near 13°C, driven by high-pressure influence reducing radiative cooling. Key upcoming updates from official monitoring will refine wind patterns and humidity levels that directly affect the daily minimum threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions