Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月6日倫敦的最低溫度？
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,009 交易量
$17,009 交易量
2026-08-06
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,009 交易量
$17,009 交易量
2026-08-06
10°C or below
$816 交易量
No
11°C
$448 交易量
No
12°C
$735 交易量
No
13°C
$1,403 交易量
No
14°C
$2,476 交易量
No
15°C
$5,810 交易量
Yes
16°C
$1,336 交易量
No
17°C
$1,449 交易量
No
18°C
$1,324 交易量
No
19°C
$822 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$388 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$17,009結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,009結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 15°C minimum in London on August 6 due to the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold amid mild, stable air masses with light winds and clear intervals. This aligns with early-August climatology, where typical minima range 13–15°C, and recent observations from central London stations confirm no significant nocturnal cooling below 15°C through the early morning hours. Official guidance highlights limited cloud cover and a modest high of 22–24°C, reinforcing the narrow temperature range. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or minor forecast revisions from updated satellite data, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if steering patterns change before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions