Official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to overnight radiative cooling under high pressure and light winds, positioning London’s minimum temperature near 14–15°C on August 8. Persistent warm sea-surface temperatures around the UK have limited deeper cooling, while urban heat-island effects and the season’s above-average baseline keep values well above historical August norms. Recent model runs show little spread, with most guidance converging on these thresholds rather than colder or warmer outcomes; traders therefore assign over 95% combined implied probability to 14°C or 15°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine exact timing of the daily minimum and any local variations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日倫敦的最低溫度?
15°C 53%
14°C 40%
16°C 11.5%
13°C 1.0%
$13,002 交易量
$13,002 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
37%
15°C
56%
16°C
12%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 40%
16°C 11.5%
13°C 1.0%
$13,002 交易量
$13,002 交易量
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
37%
15°C
56%
16°C
12%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to overnight radiative cooling under high pressure and light winds, positioning London’s minimum temperature near 14–15°C on August 8. Persistent warm sea-surface temperatures around the UK have limited deeper cooling, while urban heat-island effects and the season’s above-average baseline keep values well above historical August norms. Recent model runs show little spread, with most guidance converging on these thresholds rather than colder or warmer outcomes; traders therefore assign over 95% combined implied probability to 14°C or 15°C. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will refine exact timing of the daily minimum and any local variations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions