Current National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月9日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月9日的最高溫度？
華氏75度或以下 56%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
華氏75度或以下
56%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
華氏75度或以下 56%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 15%
80-81°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
華氏75度或以下
$1,371 交易量
56%
76-77°F
$363 交易量
22%
78-79°F
$382 交易量
15%
80-81°F
$528 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$378 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$133 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$242 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$246 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$261 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$301 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$364 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,569結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,569結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts for the San Francisco Bay Area point to a high near 72–75°F on August 9, aligning with the market’s strong 56% implied probability for 75°F or below. Persistent marine-layer stratus, cold-water upwelling along the coast, and prevailing onshore flow from the Pacific typically suppress daytime maxima in this range during August, when climatological averages hover near 70°F. Recent model runs show minimal warming signals, with no significant offshore flow or heat advection expected to push readings into the upper 70s or beyond. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily against the small chance of localized clearing that could briefly elevate temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions