Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 70-73°F in San Francisco on August 7, reflecting the dominant influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that typically cap coastal highs near the long-term August average of 69-70°F. Upper-level ridging over the eastern Pacific has slightly compressed the marine layer in recent days, allowing modest warming while monsoonal moisture raises humidity without substantially elevating peak readings at official stations. Broader Western warmth has produced interior highs well above normal, yet San Francisco’s proximity to the cool Pacific keeps outcomes tightly clustered around climatological norms. National Weather Service model runs and updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月7日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月7日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 20%
74-75華氏度 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
26%
74-75華氏度
9%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
華氏84度或更高
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 20%
74-75華氏度 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
65°F或以下
$105 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$1,207 交易量
3%
68-69°F
$666 交易量
20%
70-71°F
$1,464 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$129 交易量
26%
74-75華氏度
$173 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$209 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$1,024 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$584 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$471 交易量
<1%
華氏84度或更高
$462 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 70-73°F in San Francisco on August 7, reflecting the dominant influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that typically cap coastal highs near the long-term August average of 69-70°F. Upper-level ridging over the eastern Pacific has slightly compressed the marine layer in recent days, allowing modest warming while monsoonal moisture raises humidity without substantially elevating peak readings at official stations. Broader Western warmth has produced interior highs well above normal, yet San Francisco’s proximity to the cool Pacific keeps outcomes tightly clustered around climatological norms. National Weather Service model runs and updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$6,494結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 70-73°F in San Francisco on August 7, reflecting the dominant influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that typically cap coastal highs near the long-term August average of 69-70°F. Upper-level ridging over the eastern Pacific has slightly compressed the marine layer in recent days, allowing modest warming while monsoonal moisture raises humidity without substantially elevating peak readings at official stations. Broader Western warmth has produced interior highs well above normal, yet San Francisco’s proximity to the cool Pacific keeps outcomes tightly clustered around climatological norms. National Weather Service model runs and updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,494結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETMarket-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 70-73°F in San Francisco on August 7, reflecting the dominant influence of the marine layer and onshore flow that typically cap coastal highs near the long-term August average of 69-70°F. Upper-level ridging over the eastern Pacific has slightly compressed the marine layer in recent days, allowing modest warming while monsoonal moisture raises humidity without substantially elevating peak readings at official stations. Broader Western warmth has produced interior highs well above normal, yet San Francisco’s proximity to the cool Pacific keeps outcomes tightly clustered around climatological norms. National Weather Service model runs and updated guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions