Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates a high-pressure ridge over the North Sea will deliver mostly sunny skies and light southeasterly flow to Amsterdam on August 8, supporting afternoon maxima near 25–26 °C at official stations. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow spread between these two outcomes that together command nearly 70 % of trader probability. With resolution hinging on the single highest hourly reading, small revisions in model consensus or local observations over the next 24 hours remain the dominant near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
25°C 41%
26°C 34%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
41%
26°C
34%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
1%
25°C 41%
26°C 34%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
41%
26°C
34%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates a high-pressure ridge over the North Sea will deliver mostly sunny skies and light southeasterly flow to Amsterdam on August 8, supporting afternoon maxima near 25–26 °C at official stations. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects create the narrow spread between these two outcomes that together command nearly 70 % of trader probability. With resolution hinging on the single highest hourly reading, small revisions in model consensus or local observations over the next 24 hours remain the dominant near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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