Recent meteorological forecasts from models aligned with NOAA and regional agencies indicate a likely high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 8, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderating sea breezes from the Mediterranean that limit coastal warming. Historical baselines place August averages near 30–31°C, with current 48-hour outlooks showing minimal deviation absent any strengthening heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus at 56.5% for 32°C and 30.5% for 33°C reflects this narrow range, tempered by model spread on exact peak timing and humidity effects. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
32°C 56%
33°C 31%
31°C 8%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
56%
33°C
31%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 31%
31°C 8%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
56%
33°C
31%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from models aligned with NOAA and regional agencies indicate a likely high of 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 8, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderating sea breezes from the Mediterranean that limit coastal warming. Historical baselines place August averages near 30–31°C, with current 48-hour outlooks showing minimal deviation absent any strengthening heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus at 56.5% for 32°C and 30.5% for 33°C reflects this narrow range, tempered by model spread on exact peak timing and humidity effects. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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