Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日巴黎最高溫度？
8月6日巴黎最高溫度？
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
36%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
21°C or below
$378 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,213 交易量
<1%
23°C
$411 交易量
2%
24°C
$745 交易量
7%
25°C
$1,023 交易量
51%
26°C
$978 交易量
36%
27°C
$377 交易量
9%
28°C
$485 交易量
2%
29°C
$539 交易量
1%
30°C
$176 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,598結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,598結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance points to a cooldown in the Île-de-France region on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum near 26°C after several hotter days under stronger southerly flow. This shift stems from evolving high-pressure positioning and increased northwesterly influence that limits afternoon heating while suppressing significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus from ECMWF and Météo-France supports a narrow 25–27°C window, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–28°C yet tempered by the transient atmospheric setup. Traders’ tight clustering around 25–26°C reflects weighting of these verified forecast runs against minor uncertainties in exact boundary-layer mixing and any residual urban heat-island effects in central Paris. Updated model outputs and official briefing tomorrow morning will refine the final resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions