Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日巴黎最高溫度？
8月7日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
23°C or below
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$72 交易量
5%
26°C
$34 交易量
18%
27°C
$147 交易量
45%
28°C
$103 交易量
27%
29°C
$69 交易量
5%
30°C
$15 交易量
3%
31°C
$17 交易量
1%
32°C
$5 交易量
6%
33°C or higher
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$462結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$462結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with Paris forecast to reach daily maxima of 25–26°C on August 7 under largely sunny conditions and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages near 24–25°C while reflecting the influence of a transient Atlantic high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, supporting the market’s concentration on 26–28°C outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions