The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 33°C on August 5, 2026, anchored the market at 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Forecasts from regional models aligned closely with observed conditions under typical subtropical summer patterns, with afternoon peaks driven by clear skies and light winds rather than stronger monsoon influences. This consensus reflects verified station data from the primary Observatory site, consistent with historical August baselines near 31–32°C. A late revision to the official daily summary or resolution criteria tied to a secondary station could theoretically alter settlement, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日香港最高溫度?
33°C 100.0%
$294,061 交易量
$294,061 交易量
33°C
100%
33°C 100.0%
$294,061 交易量
$294,061 交易量
33°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official maximum temperature reading of 33°C on August 5, 2026, anchored the market at 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Forecasts from regional models aligned closely with observed conditions under typical subtropical summer patterns, with afternoon peaks driven by clear skies and light winds rather than stronger monsoon influences. This consensus reflects verified station data from the primary Observatory site, consistent with historical August baselines near 31–32°C. A late revision to the official daily summary or resolution criteria tied to a secondary station could theoretically alter settlement, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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