Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 35°C or 36°C peak in Chongqing today, reflecting consensus from numerical weather models showing afternoon highs near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible. Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, basin topography that traps heat, and elevated urban humidity typically drive August maxima into this range, consistent with long-term climatology showing 34°C as the monthly average high. Recent forecast runs from regional agencies indicate limited intensification potential due to modest moisture influx and no strong high-pressure ridge, keeping 37°C+ odds low while supporting the 34–36°C cluster as the most likely resolution band ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日重慶氣溫最高?
35°C 39%
36°C 37%
37°C或以上 9.7%
34°C 8%
$37,831 交易量
$37,831 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
8%
35°C
39%
36°C
37%
37°C或以上
10%
35°C 39%
36°C 37%
37°C或以上 9.7%
34°C 8%
$37,831 交易量
$37,831 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
8%
35°C
39%
36°C
37%
37°C或以上
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 35°C or 36°C peak in Chongqing today, reflecting consensus from numerical weather models showing afternoon highs near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible. Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, basin topography that traps heat, and elevated urban humidity typically drive August maxima into this range, consistent with long-term climatology showing 34°C as the monthly average high. Recent forecast runs from regional agencies indicate limited intensification potential due to modest moisture influx and no strong high-pressure ridge, keeping 37°C+ odds low while supporting the 34–36°C cluster as the most likely resolution band ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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