The dominant 100% market-implied probability on the 78-79°F outcome for Los Angeles on August 7, 2026, stems directly from official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the standard resolution station. Coastal marine-layer influences kept the daily maximum in this narrow band, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs at KLAX hover near 75°F and rarely exceed 82°F. Real-time station data and preliminary climatological reports confirmed this range shortly after the observation window closed, producing near-unanimous trader consensus backed by verifiable measurements rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from final NWS report revisions, minor station calibration adjustments, or unexpected data discrepancies—though historical precedent shows these events are infrequent and typically do not shift the outcome outside the leading bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月7日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯8月7日的最高溫度？
78-79°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$53,503 交易量
$53,503 交易量
2026-08-07
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$53,503 交易量
$53,503 交易量
2026-08-07
華氏71度或以下
$847 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,821 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$4,278 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$7,483 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$18,817 交易量
100%
80-81°F
$7,480 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$3,959 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$4,401 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$1,711 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,501 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$1,205 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied probability on the 78-79°F outcome for Los Angeles on August 7, 2026, stems directly from official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the standard resolution station. Coastal marine-layer influences kept the daily maximum in this narrow band, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs at KLAX hover near 75°F and rarely exceed 82°F. Real-time station data and preliminary climatological reports confirmed this range shortly after the observation window closed, producing near-unanimous trader consensus backed by verifiable measurements rather than forecasts.
Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from final NWS report revisions, minor station calibration adjustments, or unexpected data discrepancies—though historical precedent shows these events are infrequent and typically do not shift the outcome outside the leading bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$53,503結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 100% market-implied probability on the 78-79°F outcome for Los Angeles on August 7, 2026, stems directly from official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the standard resolution station. Coastal marine-layer influences kept the daily maximum in this narrow band, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs at KLAX hover near 75°F and rarely exceed 82°F. Real-time station data and preliminary climatological reports confirmed this range shortly after the observation window closed, producing near-unanimous trader consensus backed by verifiable measurements rather than forecasts.
Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from final NWS report revisions, minor station calibration adjustments, or unexpected data discrepancies—though historical precedent shows these events are infrequent and typically do not shift the outcome outside the leading bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,503結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThe dominant 100% market-implied probability on the 78-79°F outcome for Los Angeles on August 7, 2026, stems directly from official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the standard resolution station. Coastal marine-layer influences kept the daily maximum in this narrow band, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs at KLAX hover near 75°F and rarely exceed 82°F. Real-time station data and preliminary climatological reports confirmed this range shortly after the observation window closed, producing near-unanimous trader consensus backed by verifiable measurements rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from final NWS report revisions, minor station calibration adjustments, or unexpected data discrepancies—though historical precedent shows these events are infrequent and typically do not shift the outcome outside the leading bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions