Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日北京最高溫度？
8月8日北京最高溫度？
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
26%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 26%
33°C 17%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
26°C或以下
$67 交易量
1%
27°C
$24 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
3%
29°C
$8 交易量
5%
30°C
$69 交易量
11%
31°C
$27 交易量
26%
32°C
$14 交易量
33%
33°C
$40 交易量
17%
34°C
$31 交易量
6%
35°C
$17 交易量
4%
36°C或以上
$21 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$328結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$328結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight variable synoptic patterns over northern China, with high-pressure ridges and moderate humidity supporting daily maxima near 31–33°C in Beijing on August 8, driving the tight clustering around 31°C (25.5%) and 32°C (32.5%) in trader-implied odds. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential cloud cover or brief showers that could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief spikes to 34°C under clearer skies, while urban heat-island effects and regional temperature advection add small upward biases. Upcoming updated runs from global ensembles and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions