Recent numerical weather model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 6 will likely peak near 36–37 °C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Subtle differences in forecasted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification create the tight clustering around these values rather than a decisive shift toward 35 °C or 38 °C. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest 0–48-hour guidance and any revised high-resolution model outputs expected from overnight runs, which can alter the precise maximum by 1–2 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日北京最高溫度？
8月6日北京最高溫度？
37°C 40%
38°C 31%
36°C 23%
39°C 5%
最新
$34,135 交易量
最新
$34,135 交易量
2026-08-06
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
23%
37°C
40%
38°C
31%
39°C
5%
40°C或以上
<1%
37°C 40%
38°C 31%
36°C 23%
39°C 5%
最新
$34,135 交易量
最新
$34,135 交易量
2026-08-06
30°C或以下
$343 交易量
<1%
31°C
$323 交易量
<1%
32°C
$643 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,416 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,141 交易量
1%
35°C
$2,921 交易量
3%
36°C
$9,022 交易量
23%
37°C
$5,242 交易量
40%
38°C
$3,484 交易量
31%
39°C
$1,976 交易量
5%
40°C或以上
$6,435 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 6 will likely peak near 36–37 °C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Subtle differences in forecasted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification create the tight clustering around these values rather than a decisive shift toward 35 °C or 38 °C. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest 0–48-hour guidance and any revised high-resolution model outputs expected from overnight runs, which can alter the precise maximum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$34,135結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 6 will likely peak near 36–37 °C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Subtle differences in forecasted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification create the tight clustering around these values rather than a decisive shift toward 35 °C or 38 °C. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest 0–48-hour guidance and any revised high-resolution model outputs expected from overnight runs, which can alter the precise maximum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,135結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Beijing's maximum temperature on August 6 will likely peak near 36–37 °C under partly cloudy conditions with moderate humidity. Subtle differences in forecasted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification create the tight clustering around these values rather than a decisive shift toward 35 °C or 38 °C. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, traders are weighting the latest 0–48-hour guidance and any revised high-resolution model outputs expected from overnight runs, which can alter the precise maximum by 1–2 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions