Recent numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration positions Shanghai’s August 6 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors warm, humid advection with limited convective cooling. Typical late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns and August climatology, featuring average highs of 31–33 °C and occasional 34–35 °C peaks, reinforce this range while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the likelihood of sharper excursions. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 35 °C or higher absent a significant shift in steering flow or cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日上海最高溫度？
8月6日上海最高溫度？
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 15%
35°C 7%
最新
$18,622 交易量
最新
$18,622 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
15%
33°C
48%
34°C
31%
35°C
7%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 31%
32°C 15%
35°C 7%
最新
$18,622 交易量
最新
$18,622 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
28°C
$470 交易量
<1%
29°C
$792 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,079 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,399 交易量
4%
32°C
$3,800 交易量
15%
33°C
$2,081 交易量
48%
34°C
$3,570 交易量
31%
35°C
$2,358 交易量
7%
36°C
$992 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$829 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration positions Shanghai’s August 6 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors warm, humid advection with limited convective cooling. Typical late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns and August climatology, featuring average highs of 31–33 °C and occasional 34–35 °C peaks, reinforce this range while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the likelihood of sharper excursions. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 35 °C or higher absent a significant shift in steering flow or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$18,622結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration positions Shanghai’s August 6 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors warm, humid advection with limited convective cooling. Typical late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns and August climatology, featuring average highs of 31–33 °C and occasional 34–35 °C peaks, reinforce this range while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the likelihood of sharper excursions. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 35 °C or higher absent a significant shift in steering flow or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,622結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration positions Shanghai’s August 6 maximum near 33–34 °C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors warm, humid advection with limited convective cooling. Typical late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns and August climatology, featuring average highs of 31–33 °C and occasional 34–35 °C peaks, reinforce this range while elevated humidity and light winds reduce the likelihood of sharper excursions. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations continue to anchor trader sentiment toward the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes, with only modest probability assigned to 35 °C or higher absent a significant shift in steering flow or cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions