Recent JMA seasonal guidance and extended-range models indicate above-normal temperatures persisting into early August 2026 across the Kanto region, driven by a strong subtropical high and limited nocturnal cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. For Tokyo specifically, overnight minimums on August 7 are projected near 26–27 °C, with urban heat-island effects and reduced radiative losses under high dew points supporting the slightly warmer side of that range. Historical climatology places typical early-August lows around 24–25 °C, but current atmospheric setup favors limited overnight drops, leaving the 26 °C versus 27 °C threshold sensitive to small forecast adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer winds ahead of the next model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日東京最低溫度？
8月7日東京最低溫度？
27°C 51%
26°C 48%
25°C 10%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
48%
27°C
51%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 48%
25°C 10%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
22°C或以下
$53 交易量
1%
23°C
$58 交易量
1%
24°C
$7 交易量
9%
25°C
$7 交易量
10%
26°C
$12 交易量
48%
27°C
$7 交易量
51%
28°C
$7 交易量
9%
29°C
$7 交易量
9%
30°C
$100 交易量
<1%
31°C
$53 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA seasonal guidance and extended-range models indicate above-normal temperatures persisting into early August 2026 across the Kanto region, driven by a strong subtropical high and limited nocturnal cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. For Tokyo specifically, overnight minimums on August 7 are projected near 26–27 °C, with urban heat-island effects and reduced radiative losses under high dew points supporting the slightly warmer side of that range. Historical climatology places typical early-August lows around 24–25 °C, but current atmospheric setup favors limited overnight drops, leaving the 26 °C versus 27 °C threshold sensitive to small forecast adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer winds ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$330結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA seasonal guidance and extended-range models indicate above-normal temperatures persisting into early August 2026 across the Kanto region, driven by a strong subtropical high and limited nocturnal cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. For Tokyo specifically, overnight minimums on August 7 are projected near 26–27 °C, with urban heat-island effects and reduced radiative losses under high dew points supporting the slightly warmer side of that range. Historical climatology places typical early-August lows around 24–25 °C, but current atmospheric setup favors limited overnight drops, leaving the 26 °C versus 27 °C threshold sensitive to small forecast adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer winds ahead of the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$330結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent JMA seasonal guidance and extended-range models indicate above-normal temperatures persisting into early August 2026 across the Kanto region, driven by a strong subtropical high and limited nocturnal cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. For Tokyo specifically, overnight minimums on August 7 are projected near 26–27 °C, with urban heat-island effects and reduced radiative losses under high dew points supporting the slightly warmer side of that range. Historical climatology places typical early-August lows around 24–25 °C, but current atmospheric setup favors limited overnight drops, leaving the 26 °C versus 27 °C threshold sensitive to small forecast adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer winds ahead of the next model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions